Electoral-vote.com

Welcome to Electoral Vote Predictor, which in 2004 tracked the electoral vote state by state. This year it is tracking the U.S. Senate races. The site was immensely popular in 2004, ranking in the top 1000 Websites in the world and the top 10 blogs in the world, with about 700,000 visitors a day. In some surveys, it was the most popular election site in the country. Although the name “Electoral Vote Predictor is not relevant in 2006, it seems a shame to throw out a well-known brand name, so it remains EVP .

The website is dedicated to tracking the 33 Senate races by examining the state-by-state polls. As new state polls are released, the maps, spreadsheets, tables, graphs, etc. will be updated. In the maps, the states with white centers are essentially tossups and are subject to rapid fluctuations.

Of the 100 Senate seats, 33 are up for election this year, 18 held by Democrats and 15 held by Republicans. One of the 18 is held by Independent Jim Jeffords of VT, who is likely to be replaced by another Independent, Rep. Bernie Sanders. Since Jeffords caucuses with the Democrats in the Senate and Sanders caucuses with the Democrats in the House, for simplicity, we will just treat them as Democrats, with apologies.

The Democrats have 27 holdovers not up for reelection and the Republicans have 40 holdovers, which means to capture the Senate, the Democrats have to hold all of their own seats and pickup 6 Republican seats. For the Republicans, all they have to do is win 10 of the 33 contests to have 50 seats so Vice President Dick Cheney can cast the deciding votes.

The main page contains a map showing the state of the polls. Putting the mouse on a state pops up information about the polls there. Clicking on a state goes to a graph of the polls.